Slate presents an interesting article explaining how delegates are assigned in the Iowa Democratic caucuses. I thought I had an idea of how it worked, but the method in which delegates are assigned is much more complicated than I thought, and there are several factors that can weigh heavily against candidates, particularly in a close race like this year. According to the article, the last such close race was in 1988, when Dick Gephardt narrowly won Iowa. This time around, he wasn’t so lucky, and early leaders like Dean didn’t do as well. The article surmises that Dean’s ability to get people who hadn’t voted before mobilized into action is all well and good, but can actually have little effect on the delegate totals, which to me seems contrary to the spirit of the process.
The tag line of the article is “If you liked the Florida recount, you’ll love the Iowa caucuses.” This refers to the fact that the Democratic party never reveals the raw vote count for each candidate, only the amount of delegates awarded to each:
The party won’t compile or even record them, except as a temporary step in most precincts so that the caucus chair can determine how many delegates each candidate gets. The party doesn’t want raw votes compiled and released, because it wants the caucuses to be a collaborative activity, not a tally of individual preferences. That’s all well and good, if you like the party’s communitarian version of democracy. But if you want to know how many voters stood up for John Edwards, you’re out of luck.
That means that, for example, Dick Gephardt will never know whether he lost Iowa because of some of the vagaries of the process rather than a lack of support. It makes me wonder whether something needs to be done to create a more transparent process in a state that has a seemingly disproportionate say in the primary election system.